Ref:450/02

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UNITED STATES - Oct 10, 2002
Source: USDA
Aquaculture Outlook released by USDA

David J. Harvey
United States Department of Agriculture

Over the last several years there has been slow but continuous growth in domestic aquaculture production and strong growth in the amount of aquaculture products imported into the United States.

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While there are several reasons for these increases, probably the chief reason has been the decline in prices for both domestically produced and imported products.
Catfish production is the largest sector in the United States Aquaculture industry. Over the last 3 years (1999 to 2001), catfish production has been relatively flat, but it is expected to rise by 3 to 5 percent this year.
The average price for processed catfish products in 1999 was $2.34 a pound. In 2000, this price rose marginally to $2.38, but then fell in 2001 to $2.25 a pound and is expected to average under $2.10 a pound in 2002. This represents a 10-percent decline in the average price for catfish production over the last 4 years.

The situation is even more evident for some of the major imported aquaculture products. Salmon imports in the first 6 months of 1999 were 117 million pounds, a volume that had grown by 84 percent to 216 million pounds in the first half of 2002. At the same time, the average price of those imports was falling sharply. Prices in the first half of 1999 were $2.64 a pound, but by the first half of 2002 they had fallen to only $1.90 a pound.

This pattern was repeated with shrimp imports. Between the first half of 1999 and the first half of 2002 imports increased 77 million pounds (26 percent).  Again, the large increase in import quantity was partially fueled by a strong decrease in the average price. The average price for all shrimp imports in the first half of 1999 was $4.06 a pound. Over the first 6 months of 2002 the average price was $3.52, a decrease of 13 percent.

While the domestic industry is expected to face strong competition from imports of foreign aquacultural products for the remainder of 2002 and into 2003, it will also face competition from the domestic poultry and livestock industries. U.S. broiler consumption is expected to reach record levels in 2002 and remain at that level in 2003.  Prices for many broiler products are currently below those of a year earlier.  Consumption of beef an pork are also expected to be higher in 2002, however, consumption is expected to fall somewhat in 2003.

The full aquaculture report is available from the link below.

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